Carbon research dashboard

EUA price:
81.57 €
Fair EUA price:
78.51 €
Last update
2025-11-28
Next update
2025-12-01

Our carbon research dashboard summarizes the output of our CAP₂-Model, which tracks and analyses the European carbon market on a daily basis. Our CAP₂-Model processes thousands of real time or near real time data points every day to describe supply and demand of European Emission Rights (EUAs).


Short term price signal

Our short term EUA price signal supports clients in identifying attractive timing opportunities in buying EUAs.

atrractive

not attractive

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Medium Term trend signal

Our medium term EUA trend signal supports clients in hedging EUA positions by identifying positive and negative environments for EUA prices.

Negative

Positive

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Detailed market information

The following charts below show – from a purely econometric standpoint – to what extend individual explanatory factors like infrared radiation from steel and cement plants are supportive for EUA prices for the next couple of days. Our fair-value-model on the other hand does not imply or exhibit any information on general trends – it is more like a snapshot at a given point in time and only compares the current EUA price to the fair EUA price based on our econometric model.


Infrared signal

The underlying model identifies the impact of our current infrared radiation signal on EUA prices.

falling prices

rising prices

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Energy Mix

Indicates whether the current energy mix increases or reduces demand pressure on EUA prices.

falling prices

rising prices

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Gas and coal prices

Gas and coal prices play a vital role in explaining the energy mix of the near future and therefore the demand for EUAs

falling prices

rising prices

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Weather trends

Weather trends are central in explaining the energy mix and electricity load.

falling prices

rising prices

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Ship traffic

The structure and volume of shipping is a proxy for imports and exports and industrial production and demand for EUAs.

falling prices

rising prices

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Flights

The number and duration of flights is a major component of EUA demand

falling prices

rising prices

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Gas Storage

Changes in the trend component of gas storage (and oil storage) are a function of changes in the industrial production

falling prices

rising prices

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Fair Value

Our sophisticated regression analysis shows whether EUAs are over- or underprized at a given point in time.

under-valued

over-valued

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