Carbon research dashboard
Our natural gas research dashboard summarizes the output of our CAP2-Model, which tracks and analyses the European gas market on a daily basis. Our CAP2-Model processes thousands of real time or near real time data points every day to describe supply and demand of European natural gas.
Short term price signal
Our short term gas price signal supports clients in identifying attractive timing opportunities in buying gas on the sport market.
attractive
not attractive
Medium Term trend signal
Our medium term gas trend signal supports clients in hedging gas positions by identifying positive and negative environments for gas prices.
Negative
Positive
Detailed market information
The following charts below show – from a purely econometric standpoint – to what extend individual explanatory factors like infrared radiation from steel and cement plants are supportive for gas prices for the next couple of days. Our fair-value-model on the other hand does not imply or exhibit any information on general trends – it is more like a snapshot at a given point in time and only compares the current gas price to the fair gas price based on our econometric model.
Infrared signal
The underlying model identifies the impact of our current infrared radiation signal on gas prices.
falling prices
rising prices
Energy Mix
Indicates whether the current energy mix increases or reduces demand pressure on gas prices.
falling prices
rising prices
EUA prices
EUA prices also play a vital role in explaining the general environment for gas
falling prices
rising prices
Weather trends
Weather trends are central in explaining the energy mix and electricity load.
falling prices
rising prices
Ship traffic
The structure and volume of shipping is a proxy for imports and exports and industrial production and demand for gas.
falling prices
rising prices
Flights
The number and duration of flights is also correlated with economic activity and has an impact on gas.
falling prices
rising prices
Gas Storage
Changes in the trend component of gas storage are a function of changes in the industrial production and have an impact on gas prices
falling prices
rising prices
Fair Value
Our sophisticated regression analysis shows whether gas is over- or underprized at a given point in time.
under-valued
over-valued